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Italy

3. Employment & Entrepreneurship

3.3 Skills forecasting

Last update: 26 June 2025

Forecasting systems

The current regulatory framework on labour policies provides for the development of labor market analysis institutes and observatories at the regional level. The information systems managed by these research centres enable the construction and analysis of historical data series on local market trends which can also be used to develop forecasting models that help estimate the evolution of skill demand.

The Excelsior Information System is a project promoted by Unioncamere, in collaboration with the Ministry of Labour and Social Policies and the European Union.

It is the only official survey (included in the National Statistical Program) aimed at analysing, through monthly surveys, hiring plans across a universe of over 1 million companies. The data collected by Excelsior provide up-to-date, systematic, and reliable knowledge of labour demand expressed by businesses, in terms of volume, geographical distribution, company size, and sector. In addition, the survey outlines the main characteristics of the professional profiles in demand (such as education level, age, experience, recruitment difficulties, need for additional training, and skills), allowing for the reconstruction of the most sought-after profiles in local labour markets.

The National Institute for Public Policy Analysis (INAPP) has developed the Occupations Portal (Portale delle Occupazioni) on behalf of the Ministry of Labour and Social Policies, with the goal of creating a national system for the continuous observation of occupations and related needs. Users of the portal have access to a broad range of information on occupations, professional requirements, and employment trends.

Skills development

The New Skills Plan – Transitions (Piano Nuove Competenze – Transizioni), funded by the Next Generation EU program, aims to introduce structural mechanisms to consistently address and reduce the mismatch between labour supply and demand. In response to insights from forecasting systems on employment and training needs, several integrated tools have been activated at multiple levels:

  • The Worker Employability Guarantee Program (Garanzia di Occupabilità dei Lavoratori, GOL) is a labour policy reform initiative that seeks to integrate labour and training policies, enhance the involvement of local economic actors, and strengthen tools for analysing local labour systems in order to anticipate emerging skill needs and mitigate skills mismatches;

  • The National New Skills Plan (Piano Nazionale Nuove Competenze, PNC) aims to reorganize training for workers in transition and unemployed individuals by strengthening the vocational training system and defining essential quality standards for upskilling and reskilling activities targeted at both jobseekers and employed individuals;

  • The Dual System Investment Program (Programma di Investimento Sistema Duale, SD Program) promotes the acquisition of immediately applicable skills among young people by enhancing work-based learning measures. It supports school-to-work transition processes and strengthens the alignment between the education and training systems and labour market needs.